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Crown Green Handicap

Ken Holt

Team: ThingwallDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

821

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

134

Matches Played

80

Wins

54

Losses

60%

Win Rate

8.4

Avg Win Margin

6.2

Avg Loss Margin

45-23

Home Record

35-31

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
134 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2023

A large recent sample: 134 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

80 wins

Next goal: Centurion80/100
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 134 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Apr1 Aug7 Jul20 Jul12 Jul14 Jun23 May5 May18 Aug-13713

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
60%
score+0.19→contribution+0.08
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.4
score+0.06→contribution+0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.2
score+0.30→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
848
score+0.02→contribution+0.00
Weighted Score+0.160
Sample Size Confidence
100%(134/39 matches)
Rating1080 → shrunk 1080→ adjusted 821
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

80W54L134 matches·59.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall2016–2023League 3, League 2134805459.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2023Gale Formston-wrightH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2023vs Port Sunlight Village & WorksA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Mike CooperA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2023Fred DohertyH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2023Carol WhyteA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/21/2023Sioux McgookinH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2023Mally LloydA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2023Dave EdwardsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2023vs Great MeolsH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2023Fred ConwayA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2023vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings DA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/16/2023Zoe NunnH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2023vs Thingwall BA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2023Gillian McalenyH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2023Mary FishwickH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2023Steve DabbsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2023Sandra CooperA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2023Brian MoranH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2023Mo KellettA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2023Roderick PrinceA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2023Margaret LewisH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2022Katie WoodA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2022John McgibbonH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2022Paul NelsonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
8/1/2022vs Naval ClubA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
7/29/2022Jim TunleyA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/22/2022Katrina LockwoodH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 2
7/8/2022Jackie ThompsonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2022Wendy ThompsonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
7/1/2022Wendy ThompsonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
6/24/2022Daniel JeffriesA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
6/17/2022Karen SmithH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
6/10/2022Sue NugentA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2022Elliot PotterH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
5/27/2022Tom HowardA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2022Fred DohertyH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
5/20/2022John PritchardA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
5/13/2022Phil WynneH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 2
5/6/2022Ray FarrellA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
4/29/2022John MadgeH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
4/22/2022John MadgeA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
8/16/2021Chris TippeyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2021vs Naval ClubH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
7/30/2021Dave BayneA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/23/2021Mark HoughtonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/16/2021Pete GardinerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/12/2021Fred BeacallA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/9/2021Thomas RaybouldA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
7/2/2021Paul OllerheadH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/25/2021Ian HulmeA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
6/21/2021vs Port Sunlight Village & WorksA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
6/18/2021Babs WoodwardH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2021Jackie ThompsonH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
6/11/2021Barry SmithA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
6/7/2021Malcolm JohnsonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/4/2021Anthony CarlsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/28/2021Anthony CarlsonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2021Steve CrightonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2019Sue NugentH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2019Elliot PotterA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2019John MadgeH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019Michael HuddartA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Jackie ThompsonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2019David CrawfordH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2019Edna CookA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2019Bill AstlesA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2019Steve GreenH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2019Kevin HowgateA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Anthony CarlsonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2019Colin MounseyA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2019Jamie BranscombeH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2019Brian MakinsonA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2019Paul NelsonH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Matthew IrvingA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2019George RobertsH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2019Trevor BarracloughA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2019Jean ClarkH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2019Barbara HardyA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2019Gerry FaulknerA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2019Alan WelchH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Allen BennettA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Linda HowardH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Ella KennedyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Ian HamiltonA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/20/2018George DugganH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018George DugganA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2018Andy PorterH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2018Roderick PrinceH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Alan SuttonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Don MylesA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/25/2018Andrew KinnearH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/4/2018Philip YoungH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
9/1/2017vs Albany BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Fred DohertyA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2017William MitchellH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2017Steve GarnerA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2017David ChapmanH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2017Chris TippeyA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2017Rob SmedleyA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2017Rob SmedleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2017Ian HamiltonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Bernie LearH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2017Eric BellH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/16/2017Stephen PrestonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Cliff HallamA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Billy ConroyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/2/2017Derek EdwardsA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2017Terry MilnerH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017George DugganH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2017Keith LoughranA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2017Bob KellH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017John JoyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2017Peter HankinH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Vinnie RoxburghA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016Anthony ClementsH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Cliff HallamA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016Jack CullenH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016# Ian WilsonA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Peter ChallinorA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016# Barry CallisterH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/11/2016Bruce BlytheA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2016James IsaacH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Joyce SteadA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2016Richie PhillipsH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Aaron RichardsA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Bob KellH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016John RevansA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2016Bruce BlytheH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Walter BroomA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Albert StanleyH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2016Derek EdwardsH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Malcolm ProbbingA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2016Ken AshleyA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2016Vic WilliamsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
Cartwright Cup8 games · 2W
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJohn RiggUpton Victory Hall B21-18WINWON
Semi Final Round* Les SharrocksUpton Victory Hall17-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round*** Phil LeechNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C7-21LOSSLOST
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJimmy KearneyNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C16-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundDougie EvansGladstone B21-18WINWON
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round** Ian GallagherNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B18-21LOSSLOST
Round of 16 RoundColin PortisLever Club15-21LOSSLOST
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round* Steve CrightonCammell Laird13-21LOSSLOST
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl7 games · 3W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round* Anthony ThompsonManor Road9-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul OllerheadGladstone B12-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundStephen WheeldonThingwall B21-8WINWON
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundLeonard WheddonAlbany B21-7WINLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round* Graham CairnsOxton Conservative Club21-18WINLOST
20152 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round* Roy JonesAlbany12-21LOSSWON
Round of 32 Round# Colin SavilleHeswall RBL14-21LOSSLOST
Stott Cup5 games · 0W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBobbie JamiesonRoyden Hall12-21LOSSLOST
20183 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJean PepperPensby14-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundMargaret LewisParkfield12-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundTed SullivanLever Club7-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul WilliamsUpton Victory Hall20-21LOSSLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 1W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundDave WilliamsUpton Victory Hall21-17WINLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy1 games · 0W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundTony JohnsonLever Club11-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

9

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1060% win rate↑ improving
WLWWWWLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Fred Doherty303100%8/4/2023
Jackie Thompson21366.7%7/8/2022
John Madge303100%4/29/2022
Anthony Carlson12333.3%6/4/2021
George Duggan303100%7/20/2018
Port Sunlight Village & Works11250%8/14/2023
Roderick Prince11250%4/28/2023
Paul Nelson11250%8/5/2022
Naval Club202100%8/1/2022
Wendy Thompson11250%7/4/2022
Biggest Win
Roderick Prince (+18)6/11/2018
Heaviest Defeat
# Ian Wilson (-20)7/29/2016
Favourite Victim
Fred Doherty3-0 H2H
Best Season
201883% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202124% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
69% → 51%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
804104 known · 30 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
6-940% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
55-3462% win rate

By Division

League 363-34 (65%)
League 217-20 (46%)
League 245.9%
17W·20L·37 played
League 364.9%
63W·34L·97 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Aug 18, 2023

Seasons Active

7 (7.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

19.1 (134 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019202120222023